
The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Headline:
Tropical Cyclone Taliah lies to the south of Christmas Island over open waters.
Areas affected:
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: None.
Cancelled zones: None.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Taliah 14U at 2:00 pm AWST:
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 14.8 degrees South, 103.3 degrees East , 550 kilometres south southwest of Christmas Island and 760 kilometres east southeast of Cocos (Keeling) Islands .
Movement: west at 22 kilometres per hour .
Tropical Cyclone Taliah, Category 2, lies well to the southwest of Christmas Island, and is tracking westward. The system has passed to the south of Christmas Island and there is high confidence it will continue westwards to pass south of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands during Friday.
Hazards:
Tropical Cyclone Taliah will not directly impact the Australian mainland nor any island communities.
Details:
| Time (AWST) | Intensity Category | Latitude (decimal deg.) |
Longitude (decimal deg.) |
Estimated Position Accuracy (km) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0hr | 2 pm February 6 | 2 | 14.8S | 103.3E | 55 |
| +6hr | 8 pm February 6 | 2 | 15.1S | 102.2E | 80 |
| +12hr | 2 am February 7 | 2 | 15.4S | 100.8E | 95 |
| +18hr | 8 am February 7 | 2 | 15.5S | 99.5E | 110 |
| +24hr | 2 pm February 7 | 2 | 15.8S | 98.5E | 120 |
| +36hr | 2 am February 8 | 2 | 16.0S | 96.4E | 150 |
| +48hr | 2 pm February 8 | 3 | 15.8S | 94.5E | 165 |
| +60hr | 2 am February 9 | 3 | 15.6S | 93.1E | 175 |
| +72hr | 2 pm February 9 | 3 | 15.3S | 91.9E | 200 |
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
