Tropical Low 28U (28S) Here’s the latest data for TL 28U. Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour. Location: within 55 kilometres of 14.5 degrees South, 123.7 degrees East , 140 kilometres northwest of Kuri Bay and 315 kilometres north of […]
STC Alfred Overview Good Arvo all. Thought I’d sit down and go through some data on Cyclone Alfred. Tropical Low 22U formed on the 20th of Feb as a weak low off the coast of Cape York. He spent the next few days tracking east as a Tropical low, slowly intensifying as it went. Alfred […]
TC Alfred Update #20 (Valid as of 12:30am EST) After a brief intensity spike Monday morning, Alfred has maintained his strength fairly uniformly since becoming a Cat 1. Overnight and in to tomorrow morning, He is expected to begin slowing down and make the westerly turn back towards the Southern QLD coast. I have […]
STC Alfred Update (Valid as of 6:30pm CST) Thought I’d be creative and have a go at some artwork for this evenings update. The result leaves a lot to be desired lol but this is why I got in to weather and not art…clearly. However I feel it gets the point across, so what is […]
Tropical Cyclone Alfred update #4 I swear everyday this Cyclone gets more and more annoying but at the same time good fun. From a forecasting perspective it is both. It’s fun to see how unpredictable it is but annoying for the exact same reason. Anyway time to get in to it. Here’s the current Cyclone […]
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP Severe Tropical Cyclone Zelia 18U Issued at 1:12 pm AWST Friday 14 February 2025. Refer to latest Tropical Cyclone Advice. The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range […]
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP Severe Tropical Cyclone Zelia 18U Issued at 11:49 am AWST Friday 14 February 2025. Refer to latest Tropical Cyclone Advice. The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range […]
The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre. Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost […]
Tropical low 18U Update #3 Over night TL 18U finally intensified a little. Sustained winds near the centre are 45kph. So a slight change. Let’s have a look at the modelling. Some I’ve included in images below, some I’ve looked at and will share what they say here. Track: Overall Track outlooks are generally the […]
Tropical Low 18U update. Well not much has changed since yesterday with the actual low. Sustained winds near the centre are still 35kph. It’s really struggling to get its self together. Most models have the low either remaining as a low or remaining at a low end intensity. Details: Track: Currently it’s expected to make […]