The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre. Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost […]
Tropical low 18U Update #3 Over night TL 18U finally intensified a little. Sustained winds near the centre are 45kph. So a slight change. Let’s have a look at the modelling. Some I’ve included in images below, some I’ve looked at and will share what they say here. Track: Overall Track outlooks are generally the […]
Tropical Low 18U update. Well not much has changed since yesterday with the actual low. Sustained winds near the centre are still 35kph. It’s really struggling to get its self together. Most models have the low either remaining as a low or remaining at a low end intensity. Details: Track: Currently it’s expected to make […]
7-Day Rainfall Outlook (7 Feb to 13 Feb) Northern Australia: – Darwin and Surroundings: Heavy rainfall is anticipated, with accumulations exceeding 100 mm, particularly in the coastal areas. Expect possible thunderstorms and localised flooding, especially in low-lying regions. – Cairns and Townsville: Similar patterns of significant rainfall are expected, with totals around 300 mm possibly […]
The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre. Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly […]
The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre. Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly […]
IDW23100 OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 0053 UTC 5 FEBRUARY 2025 HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. […]
Severe Tropical Cyclone Outlook Date: February 2025 Location: Indian Ocean, near Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Christmas Island (No direct hit likely) #### Current Situation Overview: The image depicts a significant weather system classified as a severe tropical cyclone, indicated by the concentric circles representing the cyclone’s predicted path. The cyclone appears to be moving in […]
Cyclone Taliah formed earlier today. And is expected to intensify to at least a Cat 4. However it will remain out with the fish and cause no issues to Australia. Image credit on the image.
So at the the end of January on the 28th, a relatively weak low pressure (With a surface pressure of 1007hPa) system developed off the coast of NE QLD. This slowly intensified a little and rainfall began to increase over the NE tropical coast of Queensland. The lows pressure varied but its lowest pressure was […]